Will AI replace Insurance Underwriters in Saudi Arabia? The composite AI automation risk score is 83.2/100 — yes — it faces very high automation exposure. SHIFT Observatory builds the score using the Frey-Osborne automation probability framework, Eloundou LLM exposure data, and Nitaqat regulatory pressure, classifying this occupation as "AI substitution". Routine digital tasks and structured decision-making make this role highly susceptible to large language models and robotic process automation, both of which are now deployed at scale across Saudi banks (Arab National Bank, SAMA), telcos (STC), and government services (Absher). Insurance Underwriters in Saudi Arabia earn between SAR 7,500 and SAR 17,000 per month, with a median of SAR 11,000 — all tax-free under Saudi Arabia's 0% personal income tax. Approximately 6,500 workers hold this role nationally, with 50% being Saudi nationals. The role is open to expatriates under Nitaqat sector quotas. We recommend exploring transition pathways to lower-risk occupations — see the career recommender.

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Insurance Underwriters

مكتتبو التأمين

Very HighSubstitutiondecline
Estimated Workforce
6,500
Saudi Nationals
50%
Sector
Financial & Insurance Activities
83.2/ 100

AI Risk Analysis

Automation Probability (Frey & Osborne)
99
GPT Exposure (Eloundou et al.)
70
AI Impact (Felten)
HIGH

This occupation faces very high automation risk. The combination of routine digital tasks, structured decision-making, and limited physical requirements makes it highly susceptible to AI replacement. Workers in this role should actively explore transition pathways.

SCORE EVOLUTION

78.5
Q4-2025
83.2
Q1-2026

▲ +4.7 points since Q4-2025 · Risk is INCREASING

Next update: Q2-2026 (June)

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