Will AI replace Risk Manager in Saudi Arabia? The composite AI automation risk score is 40.5/100 — unlikely in the near term — natural defenses against automation are strong. SHIFT Observatory builds the score using the Frey-Osborne automation probability framework, Eloundou LLM exposure data, and Nitaqat regulatory pressure, classifying this occupation as "AI augmentation". Risk Manager shows a composite score of 40.5, indicating moderately elevated transformation risk in a GenAI-intensive financial and insurance sector. Eloundou exposure is high at 0.55, and Felten flags moderate AI impact, but Frey-Osborne automation probability is very low at 9, reflecting augmentation of analytical and advisory work rather than full substitution. Risk Manager in Saudi Arabia earn between SAR 12,000 and SAR 32,000 per month, with a median of SAR 20,000 — all tax-free under Saudi Arabia's 0% personal income tax. Approximately 15,500 workers hold this role nationally, with 65% being Saudi nationals. The role is open to expatriates under Nitaqat sector quotas. Develop strong data, analytics and AI literacy, and deepen advisory, governance and regulatory risk skills to stay complementary to GenAI tools.

Risk Manager

مدير المخاطر

ModerateAugmentationStable
Estimated Workforce
15,500
Saudi Nationals
65%
Sector
Financial & Insurance Activities
40.5/ 100

AI Risk Analysis

Automation Probability (Frey & Osborne)
9
GPT Exposure (Eloundou et al.)
55.00000000000001
AI Impact (Felten)
MODERATE

This occupation faces moderate AI automation risk. While some tasks are automatable, elements requiring human judgment, creativity, or interpersonal skills provide partial protection.

SCORE EVOLUTION

40
Q4-2025
40.5
Q1-2026

Stable since Q4-2025

Next update: Q2-2026 (June)

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